GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/27/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Al-Gharafa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Al Riyadh are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Al-Gharafa are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Al-Gharafa hold a 36.7-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Al-Gharafa holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Al-Gharafa

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Al-Gharafa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Al RiyadhWDWLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Al-GharafaLDDLL

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Al RiyadhAl-Gharafa
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form50.0
16.3Power53.0
1.43xG1.86
View match centre →