Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Al Jazira · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Al Jazira are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Yarmouk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 66.6 against 66.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Division 1, while Al Jazira holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Al Jazira
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
13.7%
Al Jazira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00