Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Astana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aktobe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Astana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Astana hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 61.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Premier League, while FC Astana holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Astana
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
FC Astana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60