Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Aktobe are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Atyrau are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 44.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00