Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aktobe · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Aktobe are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Altay are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aktobe hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 37.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.9% in the Premier League, while Aktobe holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aktobe
Probability
58.9%
Model confidence
58.9%
Aktobe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80