GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/21/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aktobe Jas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Yelimay Semey 2 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Yelimay Semey 2 hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 32.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.8% in the 1. Division, while Aktobe Jas holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aktobe Jas

Probability

49.8%

Model confidence

49.8%

Aktobe Jas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasLDDLW

GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Yelimay Semey 2LLLLD

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Aktobe JasYelimay Semey 2
53.7Attack25.9
0.0Defence40.7
31.5Form22.2
30.2Power32.8
2.10xG1.41
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