GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/13/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Mediumconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 55.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 88% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

88.3%

Model confidence

10.9%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasLLLDW

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Aktobe JasShakhter Karagandy
54.9Attack88.2
0.0Defence88.2
33.3Form90.2
31.3Power86.3
0.91xG4.50
View match centre →