GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aktobe Jas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Khan Tengri are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Khan Tengri hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the 1. Division, while Aktobe Jas holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aktobe Jas

Probability

42.5%

Model confidence

42.5%

Aktobe Jas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasDWLLL

GF 11 · GA 17 · avg 2.20/3.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Khan TengriLLWLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aktobe JasKhan Tengri
53.7Attack35.2
0.0Defence40.7
31.5Form33.3
30.2Power38.7
2.06xG1.75
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