GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 8/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Aktobe Jas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 3.60 conceded, while Ekibastuz are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and ekibastuz hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. Division, favouring a draw with 7.8% confidence, a 77% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

22.5%

Model confidence

7.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aktobe JasLLDWD

GF 12 · GA 18 · avg 2.40/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
EkibastuzWLLLW

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aktobe JasEkibastuz
54.9Attack41.2
0.0Defence41.2
33.3Form45.1
31.3Power44.6
2.05xG2.08
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