Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zenit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Akron are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Zenit are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Zenit hold a 79.5-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 98.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Premier League, while Zenit holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Zenit
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
11.4%
Zenit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80