Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rubin · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Akron are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rubin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rubin hold a 29.4-point power-rating edge (18.5 v 47.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Premier League, while Rubin holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rubin
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
12.8%
Rubin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20