Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akron II · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Akron II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Nosta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Akron II hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 28.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while Akron II holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akron II
Probability
84.5%
Model confidence
84.5%
Akron II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60