GGOALVIO

Russia · Premier League · 8/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Akhmat are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Spartak Moscow

Probability

48.6%

Model confidence

13.1%

Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AkhmatDWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Spartak MoscowWLDWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AkhmatSpartak Moscow
33.3Attack83.3
50.0Defence83.3
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power89.7
1.07xG1.61
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