Akhmatvs
Spartak Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Premier League · 8/2/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spartak Moscow · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Akhmat are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Spartak Moscow are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Spartak Moscow hold a 53.2-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the Premier League, while Spartak Moscow holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Spartak Moscow
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
Spartak Moscow has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80