Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Akhmat · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Akhmat are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Bars are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Akhmat hold a 44.3-point power-rating edge (65.8 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Akhmat holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Akhmat
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Akhmat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20