GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/2/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shakhter Karagandy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shakhter Karagandy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhter Karagandy hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 87.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the 1. Division, while Shakhter Karagandy holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shakhter Karagandy

Probability

64.3%

Model confidence

64.3%

Shakhter Karagandy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikWDWWD

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Shakhter KaragandyWWWWL

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Akademiya OntustikShakhter Karagandy
51.9Attack94.4
57.4Defence87.0
55.6Form90.7
56.4Power87.7
0.90xG2.27
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