GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 7/23/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Akademiya Ontustik · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Akademiya Ontustik are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Astana II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Akademiya Ontustik hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.4 v 48.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the 1. Division, while Akademiya Ontustik holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Akademiya Ontustik

Probability

53.8%

Model confidence

53.8%

Akademiya Ontustik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Akademiya OntustikWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Astana IIWLWDL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Akademiya OntustikAstana II
51.9Attack53.7
57.4Defence38.9
55.6Form48.1
56.4Power48.1
2.13xG1.25
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