Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajka · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajka are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Komárno are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Komárno hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ajka holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajka
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Ajka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20