Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Csakvar · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajka are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Csakvar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Csakvar hold a 15.8-point power-rating edge (51.4 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Csakvar holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Csakvar
Probability
34.6%
Model confidence
34.6%
Csakvar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60