Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajax W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Brøndby W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax W hold a 55.2-point power-rating edge (86.5 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while Ajax W holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax W
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Ajax W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80