Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ajax are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Vojvodina are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 62.1-point power-rating edge (80.5 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.0% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
67.0%
Model confidence
67.0%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40