GGOALVIO

Ajax logoAjaxvsShelbourne logoShelbourne

COMPLETED

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (80.5 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ajax

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

9.2%

Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AjaxWWWWW

GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ShelbourneLLWDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AjaxShelbourne
100.0Attack75.0
58.3Defence25.0
83.3Form33.3
80.5Power44.6
2.64xG1.34
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