Ajaxvs
Shelbourne
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Ajax are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Shelbourne are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 35.9-point power-rating edge (80.5 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
9.2%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60