Ajaxvs
Panathinaikos
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/4/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Panathinaikos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajax are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Panathinaikos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Panathinaikos hold a 36.9-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Panathinaikos holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Panathinaikos
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Panathinaikos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00