Ajaxvs
AEK Larnaca
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/10/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ajax · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Ajax are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 34.7 against 36.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ajax
Probability
36.2%
Model confidence
36.2%
Ajax has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00