Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahlafors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Ahlafors are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Tord are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ahlafors hold a 25.2-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 36.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.7% in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland, while Ahlafors holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ahlafors
Probability
76.7%
Model confidence
76.7%
Ahlafors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40