GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/4/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Agropecuario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Tristan Suarez are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Tristan Suarez hold a 16.9-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 18% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AgropecuarioLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Tristan SuarezWWDWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioTristan Suarez
29.2Attack33.3
61.1Defence82.6
36.1Form60.9
44.1Power61.0
0.39xG0.76
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