GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Agropecuario are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gimnasia Jujuy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Gimnasia Jujuy hold a 10.4-point power-rating edge (45.6 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AgropecuarioLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Gimnasia JujuyWWLWW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AgropecuarioGimnasia Jujuy
29.3Attack48.6
62.7Defence59.7
38.7Form56.9
45.6Power56.0
0.74xG1.04
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