GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Agropecuario are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (44.1 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

31.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AgropecuarioWLWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ciudad de BolívarLLWDL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioCiudad de Bolívar
29.2Attack29.2
61.1Defence70.8
36.1Form47.2
44.1Power51.6
0.54xG0.65
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