Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
18%
HighconfidenceŞagadam are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Nebitci are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Şagadam hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (37.4 v 35.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Ýokary Liga, favouring a draw with 17.8% confidence, a 36% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.1%
Model confidence
17.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ŞagadamLLLLD
GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
NebitciLLLWL
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ŞagadamNebitci
26.2Attack21.4
50.0Defence42.9
28.6Form31.0
37.4Power35.2
1.03xG0.77