Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Şagadam are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arkadag are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 4.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.7% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
80.7%
Model confidence
80.7%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00
GF 23 · GA 1 · avg 4.60/0.20