GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Afturelding are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Völsungur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 33.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 34.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

83.1%

Model confidence

9.7%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AftureldingLLDDW

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VölsungurDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AftureldingVölsungur
100.0Attack43.1
43.1Defence27.5
68.6Form27.5
68.0Power34.9
4.50xG1.25
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