GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 7/16/2026, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Afturelding are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Leiknir R. are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 22.0-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.7% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

67.7%

Model confidence

67.7%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AftureldingWWWWL

GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leiknir R.LDWLW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AftureldingLeiknir R.
100.0Attack44.4
43.1Defence50.0
68.6Form40.7
68.0Power46.0
3.10xG1.33
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