GGOALVIO

England · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Newport County · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Newport County are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Newport County hold a 15.0-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 68.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.0% in the League Cup, while Newport County holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Newport County

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

13.0%

Newport County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC WimbledonLLWDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Newport CountyLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AFC WimbledonNewport County
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form66.7
53.0Power68.0
1.39xG1.47
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