GGOALVIO

Canada · Northern Super League · 7/18/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Toronto W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

AFC Toronto W are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Vancouver Rise W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Toronto W hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Northern Super League, while AFC Toronto W holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Toronto W

Probability

79.2%

Model confidence

10.2%

AFC Toronto W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC Toronto WLWWDD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Vancouver Rise WWLLDL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AFC Toronto WVancouver Rise W
57.1Attack55.6
69.0Defence17.8
57.1Form35.6
60.1Power38.3
3.19xG0.89
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