GGOALVIO

Canada · Northern Super League · 7/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Toronto W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Toronto W are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Ottawa Rapid W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ottawa Rapid W hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 71.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.4% in the Northern Super League, while AFC Toronto W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Toronto W

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

36.4%

AFC Toronto W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC Toronto WWWDDW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Ottawa Rapid WWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AFC Toronto WOttawa Rapid W
57.1Attack76.2
69.0Defence59.5
57.1Form76.2
60.1Power71.4
1.44xG1.35
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