GGOALVIO

Canada · Northern Super League · 8/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Toronto W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AFC Toronto W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Montreal Roses W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Montreal Roses W hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Northern Super League, while AFC Toronto W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Toronto W

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

13.5%

AFC Toronto W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC Toronto WWWWLL

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Montreal Roses WWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC Toronto WMontreal Roses W
57.1Attack66.7
69.0Defence59.0
57.1Form61.5
60.1Power62.6
1.50xG1.15
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