GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Crewe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Telford United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Crewe are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Crewe hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Crewe holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Crewe

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Crewe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC Telford UnitedLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CreweDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AFC Telford UnitedCrewe
50.0Attack73.3
33.3Defence46.7
16.7Form40.0
36.5Power50.3
1.76xG2.08
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