Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rotherham · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
AFC Emley are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Rotherham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotherham hold a 58.8-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Rotherham holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rotherham
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
9.3%
Rotherham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20