GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ilkeston Town · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AFC Emley are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (DLLW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Ilkeston Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 9 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Ilkeston Town hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ilkeston Town holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ilkeston Town

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

14.1%

Ilkeston Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC EmleyDLLW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Ilkeston TownWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AFC EmleyIlkeston Town
0.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.20xG1.29
View match centre →