GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/14/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Emley · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

AFC Emley are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Curzon Ashton are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Curzon Ashton hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while AFC Emley holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Emley

Probability

36.0%

Model confidence

13.8%

AFC Emley has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC EmleyLDLDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Curzon AshtonLWLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AFC EmleyCurzon Ashton
16.7Attack50.0
66.7Defence50.0
16.7Form50.0
36.5Power53.0
1.32xG1.30
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