GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/7/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afan Lido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Afan Lido are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Llantwit Major are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Afan Lido hold a 43.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 8.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the FAW Championship, while Afan Lido holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afan Lido

Probability

62.1%

Model confidence

8.9%

Afan Lido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Afan LidoLLLWW

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Llantwit MajorLLDLL

GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Afan LidoLlantwit Major
100.0Attack0.0
16.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
51.2Power8.0
2.71xG1.42
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