GGOALVIO

Wales · FAW Championship · 8/1/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afan Lido · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Afan Lido are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Aberystwyth Town are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aberystwyth Town hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (51.2 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.0% in the FAW Championship, while Afan Lido holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afan Lido

Probability

40.0%

Model confidence

40.0%

Afan Lido has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Afan LidoLLWWW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aberystwyth TownDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Afan LidoAberystwyth Town
100.0Attack100.0
16.7Defence33.3
50.0Form50.0
51.2Power59.3
2.18xG2.04
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