GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/7/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AF Elbasani · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AF Elbasani are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Bate Borisov are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AF Elbasani hold a 15.1-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while AF Elbasani holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AF Elbasani

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

AF Elbasani has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AF ElbasaniWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Bate BorisovLLLDD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AF ElbasaniBate Borisov
16.7Attack16.7
83.3Defence50.0
33.3Form25.0
48.3Power33.2
1.47xG0.95
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