GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/23/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AEK Larnaca · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AEK Larnaca are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.0 against 53.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.7% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while AEK Larnaca holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AEK Larnaca

Probability

39.7%

Model confidence

39.7%

AEK Larnaca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AEK LarnacaDLLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Beitar JerusalemDWDDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AEK LarnacaBeitar Jerusalem
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power53.0
1.57xG1.33
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