ADTvs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 8/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
ADT are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza Atletico are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Atletico hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (44.4 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.2% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.8%
Model confidence
15.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00