ADO Den Haagvs
Groningen
SCHEDULEDNetherlands · Eredivisie · 8/16/2026, 10:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Groningen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
ADO Den Haag are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Groningen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Groningen hold a 65.0-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Eredivisie, while Groningen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Groningen
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
12.1%
Groningen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60