GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 4/11/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while The Cove are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.5% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

56.5%

Model confidence

56.5%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryDLWWL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
The CoveWWLWD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Adelaide VictoryThe Cove
60.6Attack43.9
48.5Defence45.5
54.5Form39.4
54.1Power43.7
2.25xG1.23
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