GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 8/1/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Salisbury United are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 34.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.2% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

71.2%

Model confidence

71.2%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Salisbury UnitedWLLLD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide VictorySalisbury United
60.6Attack40.9
48.5Defence28.8
54.5Form25.8
54.1Power34.3
3.02xG1.11
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