GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 3/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Fulham United are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fulham United hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryWLLDL

GF 5 · GA 14 · avg 1.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fulham UnitedDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Adelaide VictoryFulham United
60.6Attack63.6
48.5Defence53.0
54.5Form56.1
54.1Power57.2
1.86xG1.85
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