GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 6/20/2026, 5:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Raiders · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adelaide Raiders are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Raiders hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 70.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Raiders holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Raiders

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

8.9%

Adelaide Raiders has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide RaidersWLWWD

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide VictoryAdelaide Raiders
60.6Attack84.8
48.5Defence60.6
54.5Form71.2
54.1Power70.6
1.50xG2.56
View match centre →