GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia State League 1 · 2/28/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Adelaide Victory are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Adelaide Cobras are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Adelaide Victory

Probability

73.8%

Model confidence

73.8%

Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Adelaide VictoryLDLLL

GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CobrasDWDWD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide VictoryAdelaide Cobras
60.6Attack33.3
48.5Defence31.8
54.5Form30.3
54.1Power33.6
2.89xG0.91
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