Adelaide Victoryvs
Adelaide Cobras
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia State League 1 · 2/28/2026, 4:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Adelaide Victory · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Adelaide Victory are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Adelaide Cobras are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Adelaide Victory hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 33.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.8% in the South Australia State League 1, while Adelaide Victory holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Adelaide Victory
Probability
73.8%
Model confidence
73.8%
Adelaide Victory has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60